Chapter 06 Risk Factors

Body Fatness, Physical Activity, and Diet

Over 80% of adolescents are not meeting physical activity guidelines for cancer prevention.

Excess body fatness – overweight and obesity – has been linked to at least 13 types of cancer. Overall, approximately 4.5% of all cancer deaths globally are attributable to excess body fatness, varying from <1% in low-income countries to 7-8% in some high-income countries. The proportion of deaths linked to excess body fatness differ by cancer type, with an estimated 40% of uterine cancer deaths, followed by 19% of kidney cancer deaths, and 18% from esophageal adenocarcinoma deaths (Figure 6.1).

Excess body fatness causes 440,000 cancer deaths globally.

Figure 6.1

Proportion (%) of cancer deaths attributable to excess body fatness by cancer type, 2021

“Lack of activity destroys the good condition of human beings, while movement and methodical physical exercise save it and preserve it.”

—Plato

The prevalence of excess body weight substantially varies across the world, with the highest prevalence found in parts of North America and the Middle East and lowest prevalence in parts of Africa (Map 6.1).

While unhealthy diet and physical inactivity contribute to excess body fatness, they also influence cancer risk independently of body weight. Emerging evidence highlights the link between greater consumption of ultra-processed foods and increased risk of a wide range of noncommunicable diseases, including cancer. Consumption of ultra-processed foods has risen globally (Figure 6.2), fueled by factors such as convenience, affordability, aggressive marketing, urbanization, and their addictive palatability.

Figure 6.2

Ultra-processed food sales (kg) per capita by WHO region, 2024

A healthy dietary pattern, rich in a variety of plant foods, and low in red and processed meat, reduces the risk of certain cancers (Figure 6.3).

Figure 6.3

Summary of evidence on body fatness, physical activity, diet, and cancer risk

Convincingly increases risk
Probably increases risk
Probably decreases risk
Convincingly decreases risk
Adult body fatness Young adult body fatness Adult weight gain Greater birthweight Physical activity Alcoholic drinks Whole grains Foods containing dietary fiber Non-starchy vegetables or fruit Red meat Processed meat Dairy products Foods preserved by salting Mate Coffee High-dose beta-carotene supplements Calcium supplements
Aerodigestive cancers
Bladder
Breast (postmenopausal)
Breast (premenopausal)
Colorectum
Corpus uteri
Esophagus (adenocarcinoma)
Esophagus (squamous cell carcinoma)
Gallbladder
Kidney
Liver
Lung
Meningioma
Mouth, pharynx, larynx
Multiple myeloma
Ovary
Pancreas
Prostate (advanced)
Stomach
Stomach (cardia)
Thyroid

Footnote

Conclusions on body fatness are based on Lauby-Secretan B et al. Body Fatness and Cancer--Viewpoint of the IARC Working Group. The New England Journal of Medicine. Aug 25 2016;375(8):794-8 and are and are supplemented from the Continuous Update Project Expert Report 2018, World Cancer Research Fund/American Institute for Cancer Research: Diet, nutrition, physical activity and cancer: a global perspective. Continuous update project expert report 2018 (WCRF 2018). Conclusions on physical activity are drawn from 2018 Physical Activity Guidelines for Americans. 2nd ed. U.S. Department of Health and Human Services; Washington, DC: 2018. U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, and are supplemented with ECRF 2018. Conclusions on dietary factors are based on WCRF 2018.

Being physically active reduces the risk of cancers of the bladder, breast, colon, endometrium, kidney, stomach, and esophageal adenocarcinoma. Nevertheless, over a quarter of adults do not meet the World Health Organization physical activity guidelines worldwide, and over 80% of adolescents are insufficiently active (Figure 6.4).

Figure 6.4

Age-standardized prevalence (%) of insufficient physical activity among adults (18+ years) in 2022 and adolescents (11-17 years) in 2016

Both sexes
Male
Female

Adults

Adolescents

Footnote

Insufficient physical activity is defined as less than 60 minutes of moderate- to vigorous-intensity physical activity daily.

Promoting healthy eating and active living to reverse the obesity epidemic holds considerable potential for reducing cancer incidence and mortality. Ensuring advances in these areas will require a comprehensive approach to improve equitable access to healthy food, address commercial influences on food supply, and improve the built environment through partnerships among public, private, and community organizations.

While strong, locally tailored health promotion and policies have shown promise, reversing the unfavorable trends in body fatness, diet quality, and physical inactivity will require additional resources, sustained political commitment, and global coordination (see Health Promotion).

Sources

Text

  • Lauby-Secretan B, Scoccianti C, Loomis D, Grosse Y, Bianchini F, Straif K. Body Fatness and Cancer--Viewpoint of the IARC Working Group. N Engl J Med. Aug 25 2016;375(8):794-8. doi:10.1056/NEJMsr1606602
  • Sung H, Siegel RL, Torre LA, et al. Global patterns in excess body weight and the associated cancer burden. CA Cancer J Clin. Mar 2019;69(2):88-112. doi:10.3322/caac.21499
  • Ritchie H, Roser M: Obesity. In Our World in Data, 2024.
  • World Cancer Research Fund/American Institute for Cancer Research: Diet, nutrition, physical activity and cancer: a global perspective. Continuous update project expert report 2018. 2018.
  • Cordova R, Viallon V, Fontvieille E, et al. Consumption of ultra-processed foods and risk of multimorbidity of cancer and cardiometabolic diseases: a multinational cohort study. Lancet Reg Health Eur. Dec 2023;35:100771. doi:10.1016/j.lanepe.2023.100771
  • Ritchie H, Roser M: Interactive Charts on Diet Compositions. In Our World in Data, 2024.
  • Monteiro CA, Levy RB, Claro RM, Castro IR, Cannon G. A new classification of foods based on the extent and purpose of their processing. Cad Saude Publica. Nov 2010;26(11):2039-49. doi:10.1590/s0102-311x2010001100005
  • US Department of Health and Human Services: Physical Activity Guidelines Advisory Committee Scientific Report (2018). (Office of Disease Prevention and Health Promotion UDoHaHS ed.: Office of Disease Prevention and Health Promotion, US Department of Health and Human Services; 2018; 2018.

Maps


Figures

  • Figure 6.1: Global burden and strength of evidence for 88 risk factors in 204 countries and 811 subnational locations, 1990-2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. Lancet. May 18 2024;403(10440):2162-2203. doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(24)00933-4
  • Figure 6.2: Baker P, Machado P, Santos T, et al. Ultra-processed foods and the nutrition transition: Global, regional and national trends, food systems transformations and political economy drivers. Obes Rev. Dec 2020;21(12):e13126. doi:10.1111/obr.13126
  • Figure 6.3: Lauby-Secretan B, Scoccianti C, Loomis D, Grosse Y, Bianchini F, Straif K. Body Fatness and Cancer--Viewpoint of the IARC Working Group. N Engl J Med. Aug 25 2016;375(8):794-8. doi:10.1056/NEJMsr1606602
  • Figure 6.3: World Cancer Research Fund/American Institute for Cancer Research: Diet, nutrition, physical activity and cancer: a global perspective. Continuous update project expert report 2018. 2018.
  • Figure 6.3: Piercy KL, Troiano RP, Ballard RM, et al. The Physical Activity Guidelines for Americans. Jama. Nov 20 2018;320(19):2020-2028. doi:10.1001/jama.2018.14854
  • Figure 6.4: World Health Organization. "Prevalence of Insufficient Physical Activity Among Adults: Data by World Bank Income Groups." https://apps.who.int/gho/data/view.main.2487?lang=en. Accessed August 5, 2024.
  • Figure 6.4: World Health Organization. “Prevalence of insufficient physical activity among school going adolescents aged 11-17 years (crude estimate) (%).” https://www.who.int/data/gho/data/indicators/indicator-details/GHO/prevalence-of-insufficient-physical-activity-among-school-going-adolescents-aged-11-17-years. Accessed August 5, 2024.
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